Question: Why should
a psychiatrist devote a blog to discuss robots and artificial intelligence?
Answer: More and
more, computers, including those with a bodily presence like robots, disrupt
aspects of our daily lives. As the
technological evolution marches on, so does change, which occurs at an
increasingly accelerating rate, unnerving many of us, and causing symptoms of
anxiety, fear and depression.
According to a
June Psychology Today article, AI
will affect our identity, our sense of privacy, notions of ownership, our
patterns of shopping, the hours of work and leisure, our skills and careers and
interpersonal relationships, if doesn’t already.
Transformations
are occurring in every industry:
In his August 2 New York Times
editorial, Tom Friedman states AI can analyze
(see patterns that were always hidden before); optimize (tell a plane which altitude to fly each mile to get the
best fuel efficiency); prophesize (tell you when your elevator will
break and fix it before it does); customize
(tailor any product or service for you alone) and digitize and automate just about any job.
So, on the
positive side, computers can perform amazing feats and improve our lives. In the field of medicine, they do as
well or better in diagnosis and prognosis. They can detect the spread of breast
cancer into lymph nodes with accuracy comparable to pathologists. They can
report changes of diabetes in images of a patient’s retinas. They can diagnose
tuberculosis in chest x-rays with the accuracy of a radiologist.
To the dismay of
many of us, they can imitate us to the point that we can’t distinguish them
from us and in the future, they will become even better at fooling us; Sony is
working on the ability of robots to simulate human emotions.
Eventually, they
may be able to take over some tasks of the psychotherapist. Although this
humane capacity is perturbing, after working with some well-meaning parents who
haven’t been taught or learned parenting skills, I have envisioned that robots
could help teach parenting skills and basic principles of child psychological
development to benefit us all.
According to a
survey by The Financial Times,
one-half of computer scientists say that AI will outsmart humans by 2040, while
90% expect the task will be accomplished by 2075.
Most experts now
agree about the ability of AI to develop the power to destroy us. The risks of AI
concern inventor Elon Musk, theoretical physicist Stephen
Hawking, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates, and Microsoft co-founder Steve
Wozniak and computer scientist Ray Kurzweil.
Disaster could occur in the following scenario:
AI, programmed to accomplish
a geo-engineering project, develops a destructive method and, instead of
helping, wreaks havoc with our ecosystem. Human intervention to stop it, could
be perceived as a threat, at which point the robot might turn against us and
attack.
On the other
hand, computer scientist, Dr. Jurgen Schmidhuber, has a slightly sunnier view.
In his opinion, AI will outstrip our intelligence by 2050, but he doesn’t think
these genius computers will pay attention to us. They will see “little point in
getting stuck to our bit of the biosphere. They will want to move history to
the next level and march out to where the resources are. In a couple of million
years, they will have colonized the Milky Way.” Furthermore, he doesn’t think
they will enslave us, because we’d make bad slaves for an entity that could
build robots far superior to us.
“They will pay
about as much attention to us as we do to ants,” he adds.
He offers advice
that few could or would debate: He tells his two daughters: “Just prepare to
learn how to learn.” As computers take over old jobs, new jobs like
professional video gamers and YouTube stars emerge.
Speaking
historically, he sees two possible solutions for us humans: to collaborate or
compete. In his opinion, when we
encounter this fork in the road, collaboration wins out. He appears to be the optimist among
computer experts as Dr. Steven Pinker, author of The Better Angels of Our Nature, is the optimist among
psychologists.
In my opinion,
evolution is dialectical: That is,
thesis (or positive, the beneficial) is followed by the opposite, or antithesis
(the negative aspects). Eventually, thesis combines with antithesis to merge into
a new and novel synthesis.
History has
worked in our favor, witnessed by our survival thus far. In the past, we’ve
coped with solving the problems that have emerged with progress: The power of
antibiotics to cure has come with the creation of resistant strains of
pathogens. The benefits of nuclear
energy convey the power to destroy nations and the world. Fossil fuels have
powered industries but have resulted in the dangers of global warming. (The
Paris Accord demonstrated the great potential of nations to collaborate, aided
by environmentalist Al Gore—please see his new movie, An Inconvenient Truth— until president Trump threatened to unravel
the progress).
As we have in
the past, let’s hope we continue to optimize the benefits and minimize the destructive
potential of new developments. At present, computer experts agree that we
humans have the upper flesh and blood hand. But to maintain our superior
position, we may have to collaborate to avoid programming AI to the point that
it develops the capacity to destroy us and our planet.
In view of these
uncertainties, we’re entitled to, and share anxieties and fears in the present
and about the future. It is helpful to think of our great potential to
collaborate on all levels of our existence: individual, familial, national and
international.
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